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Cool Mist

Chassis Premium Body Powder for Men, Original Fresh Scent Color:Original Fresh Scent Infused with hops, pumpkin seed and oatmeal extracts, Chassis Premium Powder is revolutionizing
139
$18.00 USD

Color:Original Fresh Scent Infused with hops, pumpkin seed and oatmeal extracts, Chassis Premium Powder is revolutionizing men's body powder.Featuring Hydro-Shield technology, it provides all-day protection against sweat, chafing and odor. The proprietary power extract blend conditions the skin and provides extra protection against heat and activity. Its unique pinpoint cap dispenses powder with less mess. The powder is fine and ultra-soft, a premium product where a little goes a long way. Thousands of men wake their senses every morning with Chassis. Unlike medicated powders and baby powders, Chassis features a clean, fresh scent that compliments every man's lifestyle. The scent isn't overpowering and won't interfere with other fragrances. Best of all, it doesn't smell like a nursery or physical therapy clinic. Chassis guys also experience a subtle cooling action that lasts longer than anything else available. (Depending on the amount used and the skin's sensitivity, some users actually report a cooling effect that lasts an hour or longer.) Most importantly, Chassis men feel dry, friction-free and under control, all-day long. Just like starting your day with a quality deodorant, Chassis will leave you with extra confidence. The confidence that comes from staying dry with Hydro-Shield technology. The confidence that comes from staying odor-free with baking soda. The confidence that comes from staying comfortable with the power extract blend. And the confidence that problematic ingredients like talc and parabens aren't a part of your routine. If you're ready to become a Chassis guy, also consider our other products, the 5-in-1 Shower Primer and Extreme Cream, both of which complement the Premium Powder.

2015
in Health & beauty
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Danby Designer DAR026A1WDD Compact All Refrigerator, 2.6-Cubic Feet, White Style:2.6 cu.ft. White The Danby Designer DAR026A1WDD Energy Star 2.6 Cu. Ft. Compact All Refrigerator, in white, is energy
140
$146.60 USD

Style:2.6 cu.ft. White The Danby Designer DAR026A1WDD Energy Star 2.6 Cu. Ft. Compact All Refrigerator, in white, is energy efficient refrigeration in a convenient, compact unit. Perfect for small spaces, this model makes a great addition to the student dorm room or small office. It includes the CanStor beverage dispenser, tall bottle storage and a scratch resistant work top to store accessories. With a reversible door hinge, an integrated door handle and a smooth-back design, this handy refrigerator will fit almost anywhere. Package Content: compact refrigeratormanualwarranty Operating System Batteries Included Batteries Required Number of Batteries Battery Type Language Assembly Required From the Manufacturer You can add a touch of class to any room in your home or office with this striking compact all refrigerator by Danby. It comes in at a height of just over two feet and features 2.6 cubic feet of cooling capacity. It’s the ideal unit for floors and countertops, making it the perfect fridge for spaces such as dormitory rooms and wet bars. This unit is Energy Star rated and used Eco-friendly, natural R600a refrigerant. Finding storage room for tall bottles is no problem at all and the third-generation CanStor beverage dispenser is second to none. Accessories can easily be stored on the scratch-resistant worktop and there’s no need to defrost the unit as it’s done automatically. This splendid appliance also comes with a mechanical thermostat and offers 2.5 strong wire shelves for maximum storage versatility. Both left and right-handed users will love the convenient reversible door swing and the integrated door handle. This compact unit also comes with a parts and labor warranty of 18 months.

2015
in Appliances
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500 Milliliter Essential Oil Diffuser, InnooCare Ultrasonic Cool Mist Humidifier, 4 Timer Setting Aromatherapy Diffuser, Auto Shut-off for Office Home Bedroom Baby Room Study Yoga Spa Size:500ML What are the amazing features of InnooCare 500ml Essential Oil Diffuser? *Large 500ml capacity – Fit large rooms (as
8
$29.99 USD

Size:500ML What are the amazing features of InnooCare 500ml Essential Oil Diffuser? *Large 500ml capacity – Fit large rooms (as large as 600 sq.ft) better, release mist at a rate of 40-60 ml per hour, run up to all night long.*Whisper-quiet –Quiet enough to fit a bedroom, baby room or office. *Ultrasonic cool mist – Can be used as humidifier if you like. With essential oils, it helps relax & sleep, elevate mood, ward off illness and stress. *High/low mist control –Convenient to set the mist amount according to the room space or adjust the aroma scent density as you like. * 4 Timer Modes–1 hours/2 hours/3 hours or continuous on.* Waterless Auto Shut-off–Automatically turns off when water runs out, safety assured. *7-color Soothing LED Light–7 Colors Changing lamps with both bright & dim setting, can cycle around all the colors, set to one fixed color, or be turned off entirely. Reasons to select Innoo Tech Essential Oil Diffuser. ☆Quality Guaranteed -- CE, FCC, PSE certificated ☆30-Day 100% Refund Guarantee ☆12-Month Replacement Warranty ☆Free Life-time Technical Support ☆Professional After-Sale Team Product Size: 18cm*18 cm *16 cm (7.1’’*7.1’’*6.3’’) Package Included: 1*Aroma Diffuser, 1*Charger Adaptor, 1*measuring cup, 1*Cleaning Brush, 1*User Manual

2016
in Health & beauty
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Narconomics: How to Run a Drug Cartel An Amazon Best Book of February 2016: Chances are when you hear someone talking about the drug trade what comes to mind is an
8
$14.84 USD

An Amazon Best Book of February 2016: Chances are when you hear someone talking about the drug trade what comes to mind is an image from T.V. or the movies—seedy dealers, million-dollar busts, films like Traffic and shows like The Wire. In Narconomics, author Tom Wainwright looks at the drug business as…a business. And it’s fascinating. We already know how internet shopping has changed the way people buy and sell goods, but in the course of his research Wainwright learned that all manner of illegal drugs are increasingly being bought and sold online, too. Interesting, right? Just wait until you read how customer service and product quality have been impacted by this change… And this is just one of the many ways in which an economist’s view paints a very different picture than the one we’re used to seeing. Wainwright’s fresh look at a decades-old problem shows not only how the narcotics industry is run, but also how the “war on drugs” could be more effective if law enforcement started thinking about the drug business as just another corporate jungle. --Seira Wilson “[Tom Wainwright] brings a fine and balanced analytical mind to some very good research…By looking at the drug trade as a business, Wainwright is able to reveal much about why it wreaks such havoc in Central and South America. Wainwright show[s] how drug violence is not so much senseless but the devastating result of economic calculations taken to their brutal extreme. [His] conclusion is titled 'Why Economists Make the Best Police Officers.' It is one of the pithiest and most persuasive arguments for drug law reform I have ever read.”—Misha Glenny, New York Times Sunday Book Review“A lively and engaging book, informed by both dogged reporting and gleanings from academic research...”—Wall Street Journal"A cracking read."—Reuters"One of the most exciting business books of the last few years."—Management Today"Tom Wainwright has powerfully argued in favor of legalizing drugs. He says that the policies aimed at stifling the drug trade seem to be misdirected and have failed... a controversial but well-argued book... a must-read for everyone interested in solving the drug issue. Wainwright makes a lot of sense at a time when the world seems helpless against drug traffickers."—The Washington Book Review“Narconomics is the book that Sean Penn wanted to write. Tom Wainwright may not have interviewed Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzman, but he did talk to drug kingpins every bit as ruthless and intimidating in writing this book…[and] he makes a convincing case…[Narconomics] presents an incisive look into a worldwide problem. Few Americans have escaped the corrosive influence of the drug trade on a family member or friend; this book explains the magnitude of the problem.”—The Washington Times“Tom Wainwright of the Economist brings a fine and balanced analytical mind to some very good research…”—Minneapolis Star Tribune“Narconomics: How to Run a Drug Cartel could not have come at a more pertinent time…The Economist's former Mexico City correspondent offers some needed context to the region wide debate over drug policy.”—Americas Quarterly“[Wainwright's] book is courageous on several levels… [he] challenges everyone at once—the dealers, the drug czars, and the bystanders in between. A daring work of investigative journalism and a well-reasoned argument for smarter drug policies.”—Kirkus Reviews

2016
in Movies, music & books
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How to Win Friends & Influence People This grandfather of all people-skills books was first published in 1937. It was an overnight hit, eventually selling 15 million
200
$9.71 USD

This grandfather of all people-skills books was first published in 1937. It was an overnight hit, eventually selling 15 million copies. How to Win Friends and Influence People is just as useful today as it was when it was first published, because Dale Carnegie had an understanding of human nature that will never be outdated. Financial success, Carnegie believed, is due 15 percent to professional knowledge and 85 percent to "the ability to express ideas, to assume leadership, and to arouse enthusiasm among people." He teaches these skills through underlying principles of dealing with people so that they feel important and appreciated. He also emphasizes fundamental techniques for handling people without making them feel manipulated. Carnegie says you can make someone want to do what you want them to by seeing the situation from the other person's point of view and "arousing in the other person an eager want." You learn how to make people like you, win people over to your way of thinking, and change people without causing offense or arousing resentment. For instance, "let the other person feel that the idea is his or hers," and "talk about your own mistakes before criticizing the other person." Carnegie illustrates his points with anecdotes of historical figures, leaders of the business world, and everyday folks. --Joan Price --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title. Read more "it changed my life" Warren Buffet "The most successful self-help book of all time... Carnegie has never seemed more relevant" The Times "It's helped me immeasurably in life. I think everyone should read it" Jenny Colgan, Independent on Sunday "a no-nonsense guide to being a better person...an easy-to-read, practical guide" Spirit and Destiny --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title. Read more

2015
in Movies, music & books
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Men's Sport Watch, Dual Dial Waterproof Digital Analog 24H Military Outdoor Electronic LED Back Light Display Alarm Stopwatch 50M Water Resistant for Kids Boy Children Black Orange Highlights: • Imported Digital Electronic and Analog Quartz Movement provides precise and accurate time keeping • 12 / 24H
1
$14.99 USD

Highlights: • Imported Digital Electronic and Analog Quartz Movement provides precise and accurate time keeping • 12 / 24H Supported Electronic Dial. Dual Time Support • Shower, Handwash, Swimming, No Problem! 50M 5ATM Water Resistant • EL Back Lights (Left Top) , Electronic LED Dial • Comfortable Soft PU Band Strap, Stylish Minimalism Design • Durable Stainless Steel Case Back Cover and Buckle • Calendar: Date, Week, Month. Alarm and Hourly Chime • Stopwatch Timer: 1/100 Second Chronograph with Split Functions • Shock Resistant, Suitable for both outdoor and indoor activities & sports, such as running, climbing, ect Material: • Case Front: Plastic • Case Back Cover: Stainless Steel • Band Material: PU (Polyurethane) • Watch Face: High Transparent Resin Glass Specification: • Dial Color: Black + Orange • Band Color: Black • Band Width: 0.98 inch / 2.5 cm • Band Length: 9.84 inch / 25 cm • Case Thickness: 0.58 inch / 1.48 cm • Case Diameter: 1.97 inch / 5 cm • Max Perimeter: 9.65 inch / 24.5 cm • Min Perimeter: 5.71 inch / 14.5 cm • Product Weight: 2.01 oz / 57 g • Battery Code: CR2025 / SR626SW What Is In The Package: • Mens Digital Analog Backlight Sports Watch x 1 •User Manual x 1 **NOTE**: • Please DONOT Press Any Buttons Underwater. Also avoid the use in extreme hot or cold temperature. • If mist or droplets found inside watch surface, please contact us immediately for maintenance to prevent moisture corrosion of the internal components. • Clean the strap by a soft cloth on regular bases is highly recommended. • Too much water contact will shorter watch life.

2016
in Clothing & accessories
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Rome: Season 2 Rome: The Complete Second Season (DVD)The year is 44 B.C. Julius Caesar has been assassinated and civil war threatens to destroy
732
$21.32 USD
Rome: Season 2

Rome: The Complete Second Season (DVD)The year is 44 B.C. Julius Caesar has been assassinated and civil war threatens to destroy the Republic. In the void left by Caesar's demise, egos clash and numerous players jockey for position. The brutally ambitious Mark Antony attempts to solidify his power, aligning himself with Atia, but coming to blows with her cunning son Octavian, who has been anointed in Caesar's will as his only son and heir. Meanwhile Titus Pullo attempts to pull his friend Lucius Vorenus out of the darkness that has engulfed his soul in the wake of personal tragedy. For once again, the fates of these two mismatched soldiers seem inexorably tied to the fate of Rome itself.]]> Unlike another certain celebrated HBO series, Rome's end will satisfy those swept up in its lavishly mounted spectacle and invested in the human dramas of the historical figures and fictional characters. Season 2 begins in the wake of Julius Caesar's assassination, and charts the power struggle to fill his sandals between "vulgar beast" Mark Antony (James Purefoy) and "clever boy" Octavian (Simon Woods), who is surprisingly named Caesar's sole heir. The series' most compelling relationship is between fellow soldiers and unlikely friends, the honorable Lucius Vorenus (Kevin McKidd) and Titus "Violence is the only trade I know" Pullo (Ray Stevenson), who somewhat reverse roles when Vorenus is overcome with grief in the wake of his wife's suicide. Season 2 considerably ups the ante in the rivalry between Atia (an Emmy-worthy Polly Walker), who is Antony's mistress, and Servilia (Lindsay Duncan) with attempted poisonings and sickening torture. Another gripping subplot is Vorenus's estrangement from his children, who, at the climax of the season opener are presumed slaughtered, but whose true fate may be even more devastating to the father who cursed them. Rome's second season does not scrimp on the series' sex and violence, in both cases exceedingly brutal. But in this cauldron of treachery and betrayal, words, too, are vicious, as when a defiant Atia ominously tells Octavian's new wife, Livia, "Far better women that you have sworn to [destroy me]. Go look for them now." In writing Rome's epitaph, we come to praise this series, not to bury it. Although two seasons was not enough to establish a Rome empire, it stands as one of HBO's crowning achievements. --Donald Liebenson

2015
in Movies, music & books
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LANGRIA CertiPUR-US Certified Medium Firm Hypoallergenic Shredded Memory Foam Pillow with Anti-bacterial Zipped Bamboo Cover for Children and Adult‘s Optimal Comfort Support(White, Queen) Size:1 Pack Re-shapable Pillow for a Good Night’s SleepDon't you deserve an upgrade to get the best sleep possible? Try
1
$23.99 USD

Size:1 Pack Re-shapable Pillow for a Good Night’s SleepDon't you deserve an upgrade to get the best sleep possible? Try our shredded memory foam pillow. Its shredded memory foam fillings provide firm support that slowly molds to the curve of your head and neck. With our pillow, you can wake up refreshed and free of neck or back pain.One Pillow for Three ScenesDon’t you deserve a versatile pillow that can handle different scenes easily? Our shredded foam pillow’s size is 26 x 17 inches, which can be fluffed up or thinned out for the perfect height and shape. You can use it as a normal pillow, leg rest pillow or back pillow on bed or couch.Clean and Fresh at All TimesDon’t you deserve a breathable pillow that ensures you a good night’s sleep? The removable and machine- washable ultra-soft bamboo pillowcase cause no problem concerning odor or dirt. Plus, the bamboo fiber can stay cool and wicks moisture, providing you a healthy sleeping experience.Specifications:Size: 26*17*6 inches Weight: 3.9 lbs.

2016
in Pantry, household & pets
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Life is good Men's Good Catch Fishing Crusher Tee The Crusher tee is a Life is good classic. Customers love the fit, feel, and optimistic graphics on our most popular tee.
1

The Crusher tee is a Life is good classic. Customers love the fit, feel, and optimistic graphics on our most popular tee.

2016
in Sports & recreation
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Vinotemp VT-18TSBM 18-Bottle Mirrored Thermoelectric Wine Cooler, Black Size:18-Bottle VT-18TSBM Features: -Attractive and freestanding. -Mirrored trim. -Thermoelectric cooling technology. -Sturdy
2

Size:18-Bottle VT-18TSBM Features: -Attractive and freestanding. -Mirrored trim. -Thermoelectric cooling technology. -Sturdy pull-out black wire shelves. -Interior light. -Temperature range: 52° - 65°F. Finish: -Black and mirrored. Cooling System: -Thermoelectric. Defrost System: -Automatic/Frost Free. Temperature Display Type: -Touchscreen. Interior Light: -Yes. Temperature Zone: -Single zone. Wine Bottle Capacity: -18. Door Glass Type: -Double pane. Product Size: -Compact. Dimensions: Overall Height - Top to Bottom: -26.2". Overall Width - Side to Side: -19.5". Overall Depth - Front to Back: -13.6". Overall Product Weight: -35.3 lbs.

2016
in Appliances
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Word Munchers Deluxe The entertaining and educational way to build confidence in  reading!Product InformationThe fast-paced Word Munchers Deluxe is
6
$9.45 USD

The entertaining and educational way to build confidence in  reading!Product InformationThe fast-paced Word Munchers Deluxe is theperfect self-directed activity for the language arts curriculum. Picking upwhere its much-loved predecessor leaves off this Muncher program utilizes aneven more engaging 3D animated game board. As students practice wordidentification sentence pletion rhyming phonics and more the peskyTroggles try to foil them at every turn. Join the Word Munchers on a wild and wacky romp through reading grammarand vocabulary! The exciting games adjustable levels and more than 6000words andproblems make Word Munchers DELUXE a destination your kids will returnto again and again. Its cool 3D look colorful animation loads of music sillysound effects and arcade action will keep your child playing for hours.And with Troggles at every turn there's no end to the thrills and giggles!Product FeaturesOver 6 000 vocabulary words and five age-adjustable levels of difficulty allowstudents to enjoy a new game every time they play. Expanded learning topicsinclude reading grammar sentence pletion and construction parts of speechvocabulary phonics synonyms and antonyms and word association.Kids must solve a variety of reading grammar and vocabulary problemsincluding word identification sentence pletion rhyming phonics andmore. But watch out for those pesky Troggles who add an exciting twistto the game by trying to “munch” the Muncher!Skills Learned      Reading Skills. Grammar. Vocabulary. Phonics. Synonyms & Antonyms. Adjectives & Adverbs. Consonants & Vowels.Word Munchers DELUXE has no plicated rules or instructions so kidseasily understand what to do. Vocabulary games automatically adjust to the right grade level. Munch the correct answer or be munched by Troggles! Sentence pletion games help build grammar skills.  Windows Requirements 486/50 MHz or greater Microsoft Windows 95/98/

2016
in Software & apps
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AquaDance Shower Head with 6-Setting, Chrome Finish AquaDance® Premium 6-Setting Showerhead - offers the Ultimate Shower Experience! You will love SIX FULL WATER SPRAY SETTINGS
1
$9.99 USD

AquaDance® Premium 6-Setting Showerhead - offers the Ultimate Shower Experience! You will love SIX FULL WATER SPRAY SETTINGS that are truly different! Click-Lever Dial makes it easy to change the settings while RUB-CLEAN JETS make cleaning your shower head easy and effortless! Water Saving Pause Mode is great for saving water in RVs and boats. Premium Easy-to-Open Packaging – your order will arrive in an easy to open premium recyclable box that protects your product during shipping. No hard to open plastic casings, plain brown boxes or cheap poly bags! Each box contains a Premium 3.25 Inch Chrome Face Shower Head and Free Teflon Tape. Detailed easy-to-follow Installation Manual makes the installation process trouble-free and perfect! Every shower head comes with hassle-free easy to register LIMITED LIFETIME WARRANTY! Contact us via Amazon or call our Customer Service and we will be happy to help you! Get AquaDance® Premium Shower Head for EVERY bath in your home! Whether you are looking for a shower head, handheld shower or 3-Way Shower combo - we offer you only the best! Product Information • 3.5-Inch Chrome Face • Six settings: Power Rain, Massage, Power Mist, Rain/Mist, Rain/Massage, Water Saving Pause Mode • Three-zone click-lever dial • Rub-Clean Jets for easy maintenance • Angle-Adjustable • Modern design • Free Teflon Tape • Tool-Free Installation, no assembly required • Limited Lifetime Warranty

2016
in Home improvement & tools
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Koododo Cool Bluetooth Wireless Music Beanie Hat With Microphone & Stereo Headphone Hands Free, Best Christmas Gift (Bluetooth Beanie Grey) Bluetooth Earplugs: bluetooth control bottons, connect your phone to answer calls or listening to music, and audio quality is
2
$12.95 USD

Bluetooth Earplugs: bluetooth control bottons, connect your phone to answer calls or listening to music, and audio quality is superbBluetooth Charging Interface: only need to contect the USB cable without removing the bluetoothIntelligent Compatible: contect your iPad/Phone/Desktop/LaptopComfortable Fabric: high quality knit fabic, very comfortable

2016
in Electronics
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Fossil Q Wander Gen 2 Touchscreen Rose Gold-Tone Stainless Steel Smartwatch Introducing our slimmest smartwatch to date: Q Wander is our newest digital display watch that connects seamlessly to your phone.
1
$315.00 USD

Introducing our slimmest smartwatch to date: Q Wander is our newest digital display watch that connects seamlessly to your phone. Strapped in polished rose gold tone stainless steel, the tech-savvy dial with touchscreen functionality includes customizable faces. This fashionable timepiece tracks everything from daily steps to calories. Notifications alert you of incoming calls and texts. Use the built-in microphone and speaker to do a variety of tasks on your Android smartwatch using just your voice. Stay charged for up to 1 day (based on usage) with the wireless conductive magnetic charger. From customizable watch faces to interchangeable straps, it’s easy to tell time the smarter way with Q Wander. Founded in 1984 when timepieces were created more for function than fashion, Fossil began to transform this notion with its unique combination of vintage 1950s Americana design and affordably accessible cool style. Adding to their collectability were the one-of-a-kind, trademark tins that came with the watches that mixed a creative spirit with a sense of humor. These iconic boxes are nearly as popular as the watches they hold and are regularly collected and traded throughout the world at flea markets, antique shops, and on eBay. Today, Fossil produces over 300 different styles of watches in a continuously changing lineup. While the majority of designs are created by in-house designers, Fossil has reached out to such contemporary artisans as product designer Philip Starck and famed architect Frank Gehry (designer of the Guggenheim Museum in Bilbao, Spain) to create uniquely modern timepieces. In addition to style innovations, Fossil has also helped introduce innovative technologies into watches, such as the Wrist PDA that ran the Palm operating system. Fossil also offers complementary lines of small leather goods, belts, handbags, sunglasses, jewelry and apparel.

2016
in Clothing & accessories
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Koolatron KWC-4 Coca-Cola Personal 6-Can Mini Fridge Koolatron coca cola fridge is collector's favorite. It is great for offices, dorms, kitchen, living room, anywhere as you
9
$40.01 USD

Koolatron coca cola fridge is collector's favorite. It is great for offices, dorms, kitchen, living room, anywhere as you may like to carry. Koolatron coca cola fridge cools up to 32-degrees below ambient temperature. Koolatron coca cola fridge has 4-liter capacity, holds 6 (12-ounce) cans. Self-locking recessed door handle.The Koolatron Coca Cola Personal Fridge 110V AC power with an AC adapter. If on use the noise gets louder, must check for any debris or plastic part on the fan blades which may be the cause of the sound. Item is less than below 50dBA.

2016
in Appliances
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto) Bestselling author Nassim Nicholas Taleb continues his exploration of randomness in his fascinating new book, The Black Swan, in
760
$22.44 USD

Bestselling author Nassim Nicholas Taleb continues his exploration of randomness in his fascinating new book, The Black Swan, in which he examines the influence of highly improbable and unpredictable events that have massive impact. Engaging and enlightening, The Black Swan is a book that may change the way you think about the world, a book that Chris Anderson calls, "a delightful romp through history, economics, and the frailties of human nature." See Anderson's entire guest review below. Guest Reviewer: Chris AndersonChris Anderson is editor-in-chief of Wired magazine and the author of The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business Is Selling Less of More. Four hundred years ago, Francis Bacon warned that our minds are wired to deceive us. "Beware the fallacies into which undisciplined thinkers most easily fall--they are the real distorting prisms of human nature." Chief among them: "Assuming more order than exists in chaotic nature." Now consider the typical stock market report: "Today investors bid shares down out of concern over Iranian oil production." Sigh. We're still doing it. Our brains are wired for narrative, not statistical uncertainty. And so we tell ourselves simple stories to explain complex thing we don't--and, most importantly, can't--know. The truth is that we have no idea why stock markets go up or down on any given day, and whatever reason we give is sure to be grossly simplified, if not flat out wrong. Nassim Nicholas Taleb first made this argument in Fooled by Randomness, an engaging look at the history and reasons for our predilection for self-deception when it comes to statistics. Now, in The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable, he focuses on that most dismal of sciences, predicting the future. Forecasting is not just at the heart of Wall Street, but it’s something each of us does every time we make an insurance payment or strap on a seat belt. The problem, Nassim explains, is that we place too much weight on the odds that past events will repeat (diligently trying to follow the path of the "millionaire next door," when unrepeatable chance is a better explanation). Instead, the really important events are rare and unpredictable. He calls them Black Swans, which is a reference to a 17th century philosophical thought experiment. In Europe all anyone had ever seen were white swans; indeed, "all swans are white" had long been used as the standard example of a scientific truth. So what was the chance of seeing a black one? Impossible to calculate, or at least they were until 1697, when explorers found Cygnus atratus in Australia. Nassim argues that most of the really big events in our world are rare and unpredictable, and thus trying to extract generalizable stories to explain them may be emotionally satisfying, but it's practically useless. September 11th is one such example, and stock market crashes are another. Or, as he puts it, "History does not crawl, it jumps." Our assumptions grow out of the bell-curve predictability of what he calls "Mediocristan," while our world is really shaped by the wild powerlaw swings of "Extremistan." In full disclosure, I'm a long admirer of Taleb's work and a few of my comments on drafts found their way into the book. I, too, look at the world through the powerlaw lens, and I too find that it reveals how many of our assumptions are wrong. But Taleb takes this to a new level with a delightful romp through history, economics, and the frailties of human nature. --Chris Anderson Read more From Booklist In business and government, major money is spent on prediction. Uselessly, according to Taleb, who administers a severe thrashing to MBA- and Nobel Prize-credentialed experts who make their living from economic forecasting. A financial trader and current rebel with a cause, Taleb is mathematically oriented and alludes to statistical concepts that underlie models of prediction, while his expressive energy is expended on roller-coaster passages, bordering on gleeful diatribes, on why experts are wrong. They neglect Taleb's metaphor of "the black swan," whose discovery invalidated the theory that all swans are white. Taleb rides this manifestation of the unpredicted event into a range of phenomena, such as why a book becomes a best-seller or how an entrepreneur becomes a billionaire, taking pit stops with philosophers who have addressed the meaning of the unexpected and confounding. Taleb projects a strong presence here that will tempt outside-the-box thinkers into giving him a look. Gilbert TaylorCopyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved

2015
in Movies, music & books
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